Iran blinks again and again on ‘redlines’ – analysis

In a Monday night interview with CNN, Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif made his latest shift.

RESIDENT Hassan Rouhani (right) and Foreign Minister Javad Zarif. Who wanted to pay the price of moral action to truly stop Iran?
(photo credit: DANISH SIDDIQUI/ REUTERS)
Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif may be getting dizzy from continually blinking and dropping “redline” positions to keep up with the Biden administration’s at least partially tougher line with Tehran as compared to the Obama administration.

In a Monday night interview with CNN, Zarif made his latest shift.

After demanding that the US first return to the nuclear deal, end sanctions and pay the Islamic Republic compensation for sanctions before he would commit to ending nuclear violations, Zarif made it clear that he would drop that requirement.

Zarif discussed the 2015 nuclear deal coordinator advertising a sequencing of reciprocal moves by both sides to return to compliance over time.

Maybe even more significantly, Zarif suggested for the second time that Tehran would be open to withdrawing its involvement in Yemen in exchange for an end to  Saudi Arabian and US involvement there.

Although this has come up before, usually the Saudis have been offering this and Iran has made vague statements, trying to avoid any commitments to America about its aggression in the Middle East.

However, after hearing repeated statements from US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, including this week and last week – as well as by US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on Friday and other statements – the Islamic Republic may be realizing that, whether as part of the 2015 deal or a follow-on deal, it will not be able to act with a free hand in the region as it did after the deal during the Obama administration.


Kosovo normalizes ties with Israel, recognizes Jerusalem as capital

 

Israel and Kosovo establish diplomatic ties on Monday, with the Muslim-majority territory recognizing Jerusalem as the Jewish state’s capital, putting it at odds with the rest of the Islamic world.

In a ceremony held over Zoom in Jerusalem and Pristina, Israeli Foreign Minister Gabi Ashkenazi and his counterpart from Kosovo Meliza Haradinaj Stublla sign a joint declaration establishing ties.

Ashkenazi says he has approved Kosovo’s “formal request to open an embassy in Jerusalem.”

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The deadline for withdrawal of foreign troops and mercenaries passed on Saturday with no movement observed on ground
Haftar failed in his bid to wrest control of Tripoli last year, ultimately leading to a stalemate with the GNA.
Haftar failed in his bid to wrest control of Tripoli last year, ultimately leading to stalemate with GNA (AFP)
By 

in

Washington

The United States has called for the immediate withdrawal of Russian and Turkish forces from Libya after a United Nations-mandated deadline for them to leave was left unanswered.

Under a United Nations-brokered ceasefire signed in October last year, foreign troops and mercenaries were mandated to pull out of Libya within three months.

That deadline passed on Saturday with no movement to leave announced or observed on the ground.

“We call on all external parties, to include Russia, Turkey and the UAE, to respect Libyan sovereignty and immediately cease all military intervention in Libya,” Richard Mills, acting US ambassador to the UN, said on Thursday during a UN Security Council meeting on Libya.

“Per the October ceasefire agreement, we call on Turkey and Russia to immediately initiate the withdrawal of their forces from the country and the removal of the foreign mercenaries and military proxies that they have recruited, financed, deployed and supported in Libya.”

Since disputed elections in 2014, Libya has been divided between competing administrations, with the UN-recognised Government of National Accord (GNA) supported by Turkey, while the UAE and Egypt have backed forces loyal to renegade commander Khalifa Haftar.

Haftar, who controls much of the country’s east, including lucrative oil fields, failed in his bid to wrest control of Tripoli last year, ultimately leading to a stalemate with the GNA.

Huge trench dug by Russia’s Wagner Group may derail Libya peace process: Report

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After agreeing to a ceasefire in August 2020, the peace deal signed by the two warring sides was supposed to see the departure of all foreign fighters from Libya, except for the UN’s forces.

Washington’s statement comes one year after a summit in Berlin brought together key international players in Libya, with world leaders pledging to end foreign interference and work towards a permanent ceasefire.

The UN estimates there are about 20,000 foreign troops and mercenaries fighting amongst opposing sides in Libya, and UN inspectors have also recorded dozens of Russian flights into Libya throughout much of last year.

Last December, Ankara extended its authorisation for troop deployment to Libya by 18 months, in apparent disregard of the ceasefire deal.

CNN reported last week that the Russia-backed Wagner Group mercenaries were digging an enormous trench extending from the city of Sirte to al-Jufra, a stronghold of Wagner mercenaries.

Washington has for months accused the Wagner Group of providing support to Haftar in violation of a UN arms embargo on the country. Moscow, meanwhile, denies that it is interfering in the country, and denies links to the mercenaries.

A report in the Times of London said on Wednesday that US forces had captured a Russian missile system in Libya, which was purchased by the UAE and sent to forces loyal to Haftar.

The Pentagon told Middle East Eye that it was aware of the report and it “opposes all foreign military intervention in Libya”.

“We remain fully committed to ensuring advanced weapons systems neither enter Libya nor are proliferated from Libya into the hands of dangerous actors, and further stoking violent conflict in violation of the word and spirit of the arms embargo,” Pentagon spokesperson Commander Jessica McNulty told MEE.