By ordering Gazan civilians out of both critical Rafah areas, many Gazans will now need to move toward the al-Mawasi humanitarian area.
Last week, the IDF had only invaded one area in each of Gaza‘s four major quarters: northern Gaza, central Gaza, Khan Yunis, and Rafah, putting pressure on Hamas but far from a full-scale invasion of large portions of the Strip.
Last week, the IDF invaded Shaboura, which is in the central part of central Rafah.
Tel Sultan is in western Rafah, somewhat closer to the Mediterranean coastline.
Tel Sultan is where the IDF killed former Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, was the center of Hamas resistance in Rafah in the summer of 2024, and a location where many hostages were kept, including six who were executed by Hamas.
By ordering Gazan civilians out of both critical Rafah areas, a very large portion of Gazans will now need to move toward the al-Mawasi humanitarian area, where many of them were only two months ago when the military had invaded all of Rafah.
Although the invasion is still proceeding on a gradual basis and with Hamas presenting no sustained resistance so far, which in some ways is making fewer headlines, this latest move could put much stronger pressure on Hamas than any of the smaller invasions last week because of the need for a larger group of Palestinians to be isolated from residential areas of Gaza.
For those Palestinians who did not yet leave the al-Mawasi refugee camps even during the 60-day ceasefire, it could represent a much stronger declaration about how long they may need to remain in such camps, with no rebuilding in Gaza possible.
Israel Katz’s vague threats in IDF expansion in Gaza
Defense Minister Israel Katz on Friday made a substantial yet vague escalatory threat, saying the IDF will permanently seize parts of the Gaza Strip if Hamas doesn’t release the hostages held in captivity,
“I have instructed the IDF to seize additional areas in Gaza, evacuate the population, and expand security zones around Gaza to protect Israeli communities and IDF soldiers. The more Hamas persists in its refusal to release the hostages, the more territory it will lose, which will be annexed to Israel,” Katz said.
“If the hostages are not released, Israel will continue to take more and more territory in the Strip for permanent control,” he concluded.If played out to their maximal conclusion, Katz’s threats could be a game-changer shaking the region with Israel permanently occupying portions of Gaza, something it had insisted it was not interested in up until this point in the war.
However, Katz’s declarations were vague.
He did not specify which portions of Gaza would be annexed, how long Hamas had until such decisions would be made, if there were scenarios where small annexations could be reversed once hostages were returned, or whether Israel had support for such a move from the Trump administration or other world powers.
In turn, when questioned for more specifics about these issues by the Jerusalem Post, uncharacteristically, his office did not respond.
Moreover, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did not make any similar statement, which one might have expected for such a major policy reversal.
Alternatively, the entire mover was being used merely for psychological warfare against Hamas or as later justification for Israel to permanently occupy the small 700-1,100 meter security perimeter zone around Gaza, which it has held onto even during the recent ceasefire. Jerusalem Post Staff contributed to this report.
