Biden speaks with Macron, agrees to coordinate on Iran nuclear deal

Two leaders also in agreement on climate change and how to fight coronavirus; US president has indicated willingness to rejoin atomic deal, while Israel urges significant changes

 

Illustrative: French President Emmanuel Macron speaks on the telephone to US President-elect Joe Biden, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2020. (Ian Langsdon, Pool via AP)

Illustrative: French President Emmanuel Macron speaks on the telephone to US President-elect Joe Biden, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2020. (Ian Langsdon, Pool via AP)

PARIS — French President Emmanuel Macron and new US President Joe Biden agreed Sunday to coordinate on Middle East Peace issues and the Iran nuclear deal, the Elysee palace said.

The two leaders spoke for the first time since Biden’s inauguration in a telephone call Sunday, discussing “their willingness to act together for peace in the Near and Middle East, in particular on the Iranian nuclear issue,” the French presidency said.

The two are also in agreement on climate change and how to fight coronavirus, the statement said.

The pair spoke for about an hour in English, according to members of Macron’s team.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the economy in the State Dining Room of the White House, January 22, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

Biden has indicated his desire to return to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, as the deal is known, while Israel has been pushing for any return to the agreement to include fresh limitations on Iran’s ballistic missile program and support for terror and destabilization around the world.

Despite guarded optimism from both sides, there has been no sign of any movement toward common ground on the JCPOA during Biden’s first week in office.

Meanwhile, on Saturday night, US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan spoke with his Israeli counterpart Meir Ben-Shabbat, and promised to consult closely on regional security, Walla reported.

“I will offer Tehran a credible path back to diplomacy,” promised Biden as a candidate back in September. “If Iran returns to strict compliance with the nuclear deal, the United States would rejoin the agreement as a starting point for follow-on negotiations.”

The JCPOA was signed by Iran and six world powers known as the P5+1 (including France) in 2015. Then-president Trump unilaterally pulled the US out of the deal in 2018, opting instead for a “maximum pressure” sanctions effort.

France has remained committed to the deal.

Since 2019, Tehran has suspended its compliance with most of the limits set by the agreement in response to Washington’s abandonment of sanctions relief and the failure of other parties to the deal to make up for it.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif attends a news conference with Venezuela’s Foreign Minister Jorge Arreaza at the Foreign Ministry in Caracas, Venezuela, Nov. 5, 2020 (AP Photo/Matias Delacroix)

Ahead of expected efforts to reconstitute Iran’s nuclear deal with world powers, the Islamic Republic’s foreign minister has warned that his country would not accept changes to the terms of the 2015 pact.

Writing in Foreign Affairs on Friday, Mohammad Javad Zarif said that Iran’s “return to the table will be jeopardized if Washington or its EU allies demand new terms for a deal that was already carefully constructed through years of negotiations.”

Paris climate accords and COVID

Earlier this week, Macron had lauded Biden’s decision to return to the Paris climate accord.

Former US President Donald Trump formally pulled the United States out of the Paris climate accord in November last year, claiming it “was designed to kill the American economy” rather than save the environment.

Describing France as America’s “oldest ally,” a White House statement added that Biden had pledged close coordination with Paris on climate change, Covid-19 and the global economy.

It said Biden “stressed his commitment to bolstering the transatlantic relationship, including through NATO and the United States’ partnership with the European Union.”

The call was the US leader’s latest effort to mend relations with Europe after they were badly strained under his predecessor Trump.

The White House said Biden and Macron also discussed cooperation on China, the Middle East, Russia and the Sahel.

Macron had initially attempted to forge a close relationship with Trump, but the two later were frequently at odds over Syria, US tariffs and Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris climate accord — which Biden moved to re-enter on his first day in office.

In this photo taken on April 24, 2018 US President Donald Trump and French President Emmanuel Macron hold a joint press conference at the White House in Washington, DC.(AFP PHOTO / Ludovic MARIN)

Biden spoke on Saturday with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, and the two vowed to deepen cooperation and work together to tackle climate change, the prime minister’s office said.

That call was Biden’s first to a European leader, according to British newspapers.

His first call to any foreign leader went to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau of Canada on Friday, followed by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador of Mexico.

Biden has vowed to return to a more traditional US diplomacy built around close ties to the two North American partners, Western Europe and Asian allies such as Japan and South Korea.

Europeans have responded with expressions of relief, tempered by some doubts that the US is as reliable a friend as it was in the past.

Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Council, said after Biden’s inauguration Wednesday that that quadrennial ceremony had provided “resounding proof that, once again, after four long years, Europe has a friend in the White House.”


Israel, Don’t Trust Turkey

By January 25, 2021

 

BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 1,903, January 25, 2021

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Rumors are circulating that an Israeli-Turkish rapprochement might occur soon. Jerusalem and other regional capitals should not fall yet again for Ankara’s deceptions.

In recent weeks, Turkey has found itself greatly isolated from the West and the Middle East. In response to that isolation, the country’s Islamist strongman, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, has decided to hold talks with Saudi Arabia and return the Turkish ambassador to Tel Aviv. Ankara is engaging in secret talks with Jerusalem to restart the relationship, including discussion of a possible pipeline between the two countries to be used to ship Mediterranean natural gas to Europe.

While some of the military-political old guard in Ankara and Jerusalem might find a rapprochement desirable, it would be a grave mistake to bail Turkey out of its predicament and fall—again—into its trap.

For months, as Israel’s relations have deepened with Cyprus, Greece, Egypt, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and even Armenia, media reports have claimed that the Jewish State was considering resuming normal ties with Turkey. While nothing much came of these alleged talks, the reports almost certainly increased suspicion in the capitals of Israel’s new allies. Indeed, after Turkey and Israel both backed Azerbaijan in its victory over Armenia, the Armenian ambassador to Tel Aviv was recalled. While Israel and Turkey support Azerbaijan for different reasons, it is not inconceivable that many in Greece, Cyprus, the Gulf, and Egypt questioned the trustworthiness of their ally in Jerusalem in the wake of the conflict.

Turkey’s true goal should not be forgotten: to isolate Israel in the region while continuing to delegitimize it abroad. Wherever one finds anti-Israel campaigns, Qatari money and Turkish government influence are likely behind them. Turkey is problematic in many other ways. It has hacked Israeli news sites, chased away an Israeli research vessel conducting natural gas exploration, undermined Israel’s regional partners, and threatened to conquer Tel Aviv and “liberate“ Jerusalem, a city Erdoğan claims is Turkish. Turkey’s maritime border demarcation with the UN-backed government of Libya aims to scupper Israel’s natural gas pipeline through Cyprus to Europe, a pipeline that is critical to Israel’s future economic and political interests. What’s more, Ankara’s new ambassador to Israel is vehemently anti-Zionist.

Ankara’s hosting of Hamas leaders, which entails granting them citizenship and allowing them to plan terror and cyberattacks against the Jewish state from Turkish territory, is further evidence, if any more is needed, that Turkey  is no friend to Israel. It is an increasingly dangerous regional rival that flouts international law, violates human rights, destabilizes countries, commits war crimes, and supports international terrorism. Israel’s military and political leaders should neither underestimate Turkey nor confuse nostalgia with wise policymaking. If Israel wants to continue normalizing relations with countries throughout the region and bring an end to Middle Eastern instability, it should reject Turkey’s manipulative attempts to restore ties.

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Dmitri Shufutinsky is a graduate of Arcadia University’s Masters program in International Peace & Conflict Resolution. He currently lives as a Lone Soldier in Kibbutz Erez, Israel, serving in the Givati Brigade under the Garin Tzabar program.


Biden will not wait for Israel to make moves on Iran

Analysis: The new U.S. administration is nothing like its predecessor and Netanyahu’s insistence on sidelining the defense establishment could leave Jerusalem with little to no say in the upcoming nuclear negotiations with the Islamic Republic

Alex Fishman|
Published: 01.24.21 , 23:38
The new White House is eyeing Mideast expert and conflict resolution specialist Robert Malley to head the talks on the U.S. return to the nuclear agreement with Iran.
Malley, who has a Jewish American mother and a Jewish Egyptian father, was part of former president Bill Clinton’s team at the July 2000 Camp David summit and a senior official in Barack Obama’s administration.
Robert Malley
Robert Malley
(Photo: International Peace Institute)
He is the current CEO of the International Crisis Group in Washington, which carries out analysis on global crises.
By looking at the group’s previous studies on the Iranian nuclear agreement, one can easily extrapolate the course of action the Biden administration will take on the issue.
Firstly, there will be a freeze until after Iran holds its presidential elections in June of this year.
After that, the U.S. will launch two separate negotiating tracks with Iran: one on the nuclear program and another on the development of ballistic missiles and Iranian interference in the Middle East.
מפגש על הסכם הגרעין עם איראן
International negotiations over the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal
(Photo: AFP)
Washington’s pledge to consult with its regional allies before the start of these negotiations raises the question of exactly who in Israel the U.S. will be talking to.
It is currently unclear who dictates Israel’s policy when it comes to the Iranian threat.
In December, National Security Advisor Meir Ben-Shabbat wrote to Defense Minister Benny Gantz that Israel’s position on Iran would be determined by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who would be basing his strategy on the work of the National Security Council.
מאיר בן שבת סטיב מנוצ'ין והמשלחת לבחריין לפני העלייה למטוס בנתב"ג
National Security Advisor Meir Ben-Shabbat leading a delegation to Bahrain, Oct. 2020
(Photo: GPO)
Gantz hit back at Beb-Shabbat, saying that the Iranian issue was not anyone’s private business, and that the defense establishment would take an active role in the decision-making process along with the security cabinet.
Since then, there has been no further communication on the issue between the branches of Israel’s defense establishment and everyone is busy producing their own working papers.
The prime minister does not see the need to include the IDF Strategic Division from any decision-making processes regarding Iran, despite the military having the most information about what is actually happening in the Islamic republic and how to combat it.
ג'ו ביידן ובנימין נתניהו
Then-U.S. vice president Joe Biden and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu meeting in Jerusalem in 2016
(Photo: GPO)
The Prime Minister’s Office, meanwhile, has decided to sideline the Defense Ministry, despite it being in regular contact with the U.S. administration on strategic issues.
Netanyahu has decided to tackle the Iranian issue the same way he decided to tackle the coronavirus crisis – with him at the helm supported by the National Security Council alone.
The problem is that the U.S. will not wait for Israel to work through its political divisions and will move ahead with new Iran talks – with or without us.